Pre-tourney Rankings
Patriot League
2012-13


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
61 Bucknell 100.0%   13   27 - 5 12 - 2 27 - 5 12 - 2 +8.0      +2.9 101 +5.1 45 61.6 287 +10.5 45 +8.2 1
106 Lehigh 0.0%   20 - 9 10 - 4 20 - 9 10 - 4 +4.3      +3.1 94 +1.1 136 71.8 82 +3.9 111 +3.6 3
152 Army 0.0%   15 - 15 8 - 6 15 - 15 8 - 6 +0.8      +2.2 120 -1.4 212 73.1 57 -2.3 202 -0.1 4
164 Lafayette 0.0%   18 - 15 10 - 4 18 - 15 10 - 4 +0.1      +2.8 107 -2.7 249 66.6 190 0.0 170 +4.4 2
232 Holy Cross 0.0%   12 - 18 4 - 10 12 - 18 4 - 10 -4.0      -2.0 224 -2.0 234 61.2 292 -3.8 225 -7.5 7
267 Colgate 0.0%   11 - 21 5 - 9 11 - 21 5 - 9 -6.1      -2.9 251 -3.2 262 69.1 131 -5.7 253 -4.9 6
268 American 0.0%   10 - 20 5 - 9 10 - 20 5 - 9 -6.2      -2.6 242 -3.6 270 55.6 342 -6.3 262 -4.9 5
305 Navy 0.0%   7 - 23 2 - 12 7 - 23 2 - 12 -9.3      -8.2 327 -1.1 203 57.7 330 -10.3 311 -11.8 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Bucknell 1.0 100.0
Lehigh 2.0 100.0
Army 4.0 100.0
Lafayette 2.0 100.0
Holy Cross 7.0 100.0
Colgate 5.0 100.0
American 5.0 100.0
Navy 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Bucknell 12 - 2 100.0
Lehigh 10 - 4 100.0
Army 8 - 6 100.0
Lafayette 10 - 4 100.0
Holy Cross 4 - 10 100.0
Colgate 5 - 9 100.0
American 5 - 9 100.0
Navy 2 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Bucknell 100.0% 100.0
Lehigh
Army
Lafayette
Holy Cross
Colgate
American
Navy


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Bucknell 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.0 0.2 22.8 75.3 1.7
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Colgate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
American 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Bucknell 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 27.1% 9.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colgate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
American 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 27.1% 0.3 72.9 27.1
Sweet Sixteen 9.1% 0.1 90.9 9.1
Elite Eight 1.8% 0.0 98.2 1.8
Final Four 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0